People pack Woodbine Beach, despite Ontario uptick in
is woodbine beach open today
is woodbine beach open today - win
NSW reports 0 new local cases and 0 new overseas cases - 5 February 2021 🍩 🍩
𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝟮𝟰 𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀
0 are returned overseas travellers in hotel quarantine. 🍩
0new locally acquired cases! 🍩19 days in a row!
This is the first time since the 25th of November 2020 that we have reported no local AND no overseas cases! DOUBLE DOUGHNUT!
⚠️ 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗔𝗻𝗻𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀:
New detection of COVID-19 at the Glenfield treatment plant (south-western Sydney).
The 5 people in NSW who were staying at a Victorian quarantine hotel at the same time as COVID-19 transmission took place between guests in adjacent rooms, have all returned negative results, however they will continue to isolate for a full 14 days since they were at the hotel and will be tested again at the end of that period.
The NSW Chief Health Officer (Kezza) has released a COVID-19 concerns notice which identifies Victoria as an affected area, with a number places of high concern.
So what does this mean?
If you have been to an affected area, you will be required to complete a traveller self-declaration form before entering NSW. This information will be used for contact tracing if required.
If you have been to a place of high concern you cannot enter NSW unless you are a NSW resident.
NSW residents who have been in a "place of high concern" and have returned to NSW must self-isolate as though they are a close contact in line with the Public Health (COVID-19 Self-Isolation) Order (No 5) 2020. They must also comply with the Interstate Traveller Guidelines when arriving in NSW.
From
To
Status
Victoria
NSW
From 5 February 2021 Victoria is declared an affected area. Arrivals by air or rail must complete a declaration form. If you are not a NSW resident and you have been in a place of high concern you must not enter NSW. If you are a returning NSW resident and you have been in a place of high concern at the time specified in a COVID-19 concerns notice , you must self-isolate for 14 days, and follow the Interstate Traveller Guidelines.
Western Australia
NSW
Open – arrivals into NSW by air must complete a declaration form. If you arrived in NSW on or after 25 January and you have been to any of the WA affected areas or case locations you should get tested and follow advice for WA hotspots.
Reclassifications = last reported case on 11/01 | 9 cases are not epidemiologically linked.
A cluster officially becomes inactive after 28 days have elapsed with no linked cases.
⚠️ TheAvalon Cluster[removed 5/02]Croydon Cluster[removed 4/02] and theTransport Worker Cluster[removed 30/01]have been removed from the list as it has been at least 28 days since the last reported case.
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📈 𝗖𝗢𝗩𝗜𝗗-𝟭𝟵 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮
✅ COVID-19 test frequency per day
The red line plots the 7-day moving average, and the blue broken line shows the NSW goal of conducting ≥ 8,000 COVID-19 tests per day. At the moment Dr Chant advises we are aiming for over 25,000 tests.
NSW Health’s sewage surveillance program has recently detected fragments of the virus that causes COVID-19 at various treatment plants. Everyone living or working in these suburbs should monitor for symptoms and get tested and isolate immediately if they appear.
COVID-19 virus fragments detected in sewage
Suburbs Concerned
✳️Glenfield treatment plant (sampled 1, 5, 13, 18, 20 and 27 January 2021)
Airds, Ambarvale, Appin, Bardia, Blair Athol, Blairmount, Bow Bowing, Bradbury, Campbelltown, Casula, Claymore, Eagle Vale, Englorie Park, Eschol Park, Glen Alpine, Glenfield, Ingleburn, Kearns, Leumeah, Macquarie Fields, Macquarie Links, Menangle Park, Raby, Rosemeadow, Ruse, St Andrews, St Helens Park, Varroville and Woodbine.
Ireland Park sewage network (1 February 2021)
Cecil Park, Cecil Hills, Bonnyrigg Heights, Green Valley, Len Waters Estate, Hinchinbrook, Hoxton Park, West Hoxton, Carnes Hill, Horningsea Park, Edmondson Park, Bardia, Denham Court, Leppington, Gledswood Hills, Glenfield, Casula, Prestons, Varroville and Austral.
Minto sewage network (sampled 27 January 2021)
Kentlyn, Ingleburn, Minto Heights, Menangle Park, Gilead, Currans Hill, Woodbine, Campbelltown, Leumeah, Bradbury, Gregory Hills, Raby, St Andrews, Bow Bowing, Minto, Ruse, Airds, Glen Alpine, Blair Athol, Ambarvale, Englorie Park, St Helens Park, Rosemeadow
Liverpool treatment plant (sampled 20, 24, 26 and 28 January 2021)
Bardia, Hinchinbrook, Hoxton Park, Abbotsbury, Ingleburn, Prestons, Holsworthy, Edmondson Park, Austral, Cecil Park, Cecil Hills, Elizabeth Hills, Bonnyrigg Heights, Edensor Park, Green Valley, Pleasure Point, Casula, Hammondville, Liverpool, Moorebank, Wattle Grove, Miller, Cartwright, Lurnea, Warwick Farm, Chipping Norton, Voyager Point, Macquarie Links, Glenfield, Catherine Field, Gledswood Hills, Varroville, Leppington, West Hoxton, Horningsea Park, Middleton Grange, Len Waters Estate, Carnes Hill, and Denham Court
Warriewood treatment plant (sampled 21, 25 and 27 January 2021)
Avalon Beach, Bayview, Belrose, Bilgola Beach, Bilgola Plateau, Church Point, Clareville, Elanora Heights, Frenchs Forest, Ingleside, Ku-ring-gai Chase, Mona Vale, Narrabeen, North Narrabeen, Newport, Oxford Falls, Palm Beach, Pittwater, Terrey Hills, Warriewood and Whale Beach
Berala sewage network (sampled 20 January 2021)
Berala, Auburn, Lidcombe, Rookwood and Regents Park
Camellia sewage pumping station (south sampled 2, 19 January 2021)
Auburn, Bankstown, Bass Hill, Berala, Camellia, Chester Hill, Chullora, Clyde, Condell Park, Granville, Guildford, Guildford West, Harris Park, Holroyd, Homebush West, Lidcombe, Merrylands, Merrylands West, Newington, Old Guildford, Parramatta, Potts Hill, Regents Park, Rookwood, Rosehill, Rydalmere, Sefton, Silverwater, South Granville, Strathfield, Sydney Olympic Park, Yagoona.
LOCK OF THE NIGHT:6 All American N (RACE 13) PRICE PLAY OF THE NIGHT:2 Junior's Dew (RACE 1) Race 1 2 Junior's Dew 7 Good Day Mate 6 Walks Of Life The 2 is taking a massive drop, facing similar to five back and if the pilot gives him a good trip he could upset these. The 7 closed well to finish fifth (placed fourth) and to lose by only 1.75 length, gets some post relief, improved second time on the track and should compete well again especially since he facing many of the same horses as last time out. The 6 finished fourth (placed third), closed well as well, should compete well in the always difficult ametaur race. Race 2 5 Dazzling Reign 6 Dutiful 4 Hot As Hill The 5 finished third in last where the 6 finished second, closed in a good 28.1 for this group and with a small improvement can upset this group. The 6 finished second in last, should improve and contend well in here. The 4 won easily in last, can go faster than last and should compete well in here. Race 3 1 Anoka Hanover 3 Insta Glam 7 Scirocco Kathy W The 1 has won four in a row including CRUSHING weaker in last, deadheated with her rival the 3 four back, is returning to the Big M and should duel well with the 3. The 3 was facing similar in last and CRUSHED them to the winner's circle, deadheated with the 1 four back, and should battle well with her once again. The 7 is making her third career start, should continue to improve and is the best of the rest. Race 4 7 Classic Venture 3 Super Schissel 6 Cash For Gold The 7 is dropping,improved slightly, gets the Blueberry bomber in the bike and could upset this wide open group. The 3 is dropping, makes his third start off the bench, post relief, should improve and compete well against this group. The 6 has ran back to back good seconds at Pocono against slightly weaker, switches to the mile oval and should improve off those nice efforts and compete well in here. Race 5 9 She Rocks Kemp 8 Grosseto AS 1 Masstro The 9 is taking a big drop, switches to the Big M from Woodbine, closed well for this group in last in 28.2 and some improvement will give this one a great chance to win this wide open affair. The 8 finished second versus similar in last, has contended well in two of his last three and should compete well once again. The 1 ran much faster in his second career start but still lost by a narrow margin once again, adds lasix, should continue to improve and compete well in here even on the massive class hike. Race 6 5 Jula Muscle Pack 7 Dee's Red Delcious 1 Take This Society The 5 closed well in last to finish second to the 7, expect this one to be closer and to improve, has a good chance to upset this group. The 7 got away in last and held off the closers pretty well, should improve and could easily win again. The 1 ran a good fourth in the same race as the 5 and 7, should improve second time on the track and contend well in here. Race 7 7 Gotwuteverittakes 9 Henderson Seelster 3 For A Dreamer The 7 ran a good qualifier, closed well, should improve off of that and compete well in here if he can stay flat. The 9 won at this level three back, with a good trip and stays flat then he could win again. The 3 has finished third in four straight, with a good trip and luck this one could be a small upsetter in here. Race 8 4 Dresden 5 Classicist 8 Lindy At The Beach The 4 closed well in last, watched the replay and she did not really have anywhere to go late and could have finished better than fourth, expect this one to improve off of that effort and contend well once again. The 5 was closing well late as well but had the whole middle of the track to continue to gain until the wire, should improve off that effort and contend well in here. The 8 dug in gamely, should improve and should race well once again. Race 9 2 JL Cruze 5 HL Revadon 6 Chiplosive The 2 is switching back to trainer Eric Ell, he is a true horse for the course winning 22/56 starts here, is facing weaker today than his last handful of starts here so he should compete well. The 5 was no match for Kings County in last, should race a little better today and compete well in here. The 6 is taking a massive class hike but has been razor sharp in his last two and should at least compete well enough to hit the board. Race 10 4 Dontpassme Hanover 9 Simon Says Hanover 5 Ilderton AM The 4 got up at the wire in last to win, closed in a wicked 25.3, gets a new pilot that I think will fit his running style just as good as the last, and should compete well in here. The 9 got up at the wire to winning by a head, should improve off that effort and race well once again. The 5 lost at the wire to the 9 in last, should improve and compete well in here. Race 11 3 Little Honeybadger 4 Over Speeding 1 Milady Denver A 9 Avaya Hanover The 3 was parked the entire way in last, expect a much better trip and should contend well in here. The 4 gets post relief, improved second time on the track, closed in 27.4 which is good for this group and should compete well in this wide open race. The 1 gets post relief, should improve second time on the track and should get a good trip and compete well in here. The 9 is dropping, raced a fast time in fast race that she had no chance of ever winning, should improve moving to the mile oval and should compete well in here. Race 12 1 Sonofamistery 3 Jack's Fire 2 Royson's Punch The 1 is three for three over this track, needs to improve a little to beat the 3. The 3 won in last, moves to the mile oval where he won four back defeating the 2, finished well in front of the 1 at the Red Mile two back and seems to be the one to beat. The 2 has been hitting the board consistently and should compete well in here. Race 13 6 All American N 3 Broadway Promise 7 Explosive The 6 is dropping, if he can stay flat he will win, ONE TO BEAT! The 3 raced well four back, should improve off that okay effort and compete better today than in last. The 7 is facing similar, has raced just okay since arriving here but seems better than the rest. Meet Record This my record for picking the winners; 1st choice means my first horse picked per each race, 2nd choice means my second horse picked per each race, 3rd choice means my third horse picked per each race and top 3 choices means how often I had the winner among my top 3 choices. The latest date gives my cumulative percentages for how often my picks have won per choice. WIN% BY CHOICE FAVORITE WIN% Win% (blue)- percentage of races won per race day by the favorite. Meet Win% (green)- percentage of races won cumulative by the favorites.
LOCK OF THE NIGHT:3 Heavenly Sound (RACE 7) PRICE PLAY OF THE NIGHT:1 May I Cruise West (RACE 13) Race 1 1 Bank Sea 2 Papiamento 5 Mindtrip The 1 is dropping, moves back to the Big M, has had a bad post in four or five of his last five starts and gets post relief finally, is fast enough to take these. The 2 has been getting faster with each start over the track and won easily in last and is going up in class but will compete well for top honors. The 5 is facing slightly weaker, moves back to the Big M where he has his lone win on the season, and can definitely beat these. Race 2 4 Flying Finn N 2 Claytons Bettor N 8 Rockin Rocko The 4 ran back to back good qualifiers, faced too tough when last here on 7-20, should contend well in here. The 2 ran a good second in last, making his third start off the bench and should put in another good effort. The 8 ran a good third behind the 2, with a good trip this one could pull off the upset. Race 3 8 Celebrity Lover 4 Up The Alley 3 Knightofvictory The 8 closed well in last, should improve second start on the track and should compete well in here. The 4 gets a much better post, should run much better second time on the track and is fast enough to take these. The 3 tired badly in last, might rebound second time on the track, and won here last year in 1.54.3, chance. Race 4 3 Change Stride N 9 World On Edge 2 Dashboard The 3 gets post relief, and was closing quick in last, should compete well in here. The 9 had no chance in his last two, should race much better against this group like he did three back, has a good chance to rebound. The 2 raced okay in last, comes back to the Big M where he ran 6th by 3.25 lengths but was in 1.51.4 and a similar effort could get this one in the winner's circle at a price. Race 5 8 Dealer's Table 1 Saying Grace N 2 Palomar The 8 is taking a huge drop in class, dropping two classes, is making his second start off the bench and should improve off a decent effort. The 1 gets post relief, is dropping, and ran a good third in last, should compete well in here. The 2 had no chance in last, drops and gets post relief, won at this level three back and should contend well in here. Race 6 3 Franco Totem N 6 Albergo Hanover 10 Seeing Eye Single The 3 CRUSHED in his last race against similar, should give this group trouble as well. The 6 disappointed in last missing by half of a length, expect another good effort out of this one and seems to be the one with the best chance to upset. The 10 has hit the board in three straight here, always has good last quarters and has a chance to upset with a good trip. Race 7 3 Heavenly Sound 6 Always Flashing A 8 Franco Tristan N The 3 is facing weaker, gets post relief, and is fast enough to take these. The 6 had no chance in last, raced well against similar at Woodbine-Mohawk Park three and four back and should race well in here. The 8 is facing weaker, gets a better pilot, is fast enough and has a chance to upset this group at a price. Race 8 4 A Major Omen 1 Chip Walther 6 Yacht Week The 4 was closing fast but too late in last, should race well against these and will be flying late once again. The 1 gets post relief and a better pilot, was parked the whole mile and should race much better today and compete well in here just like two back at Vernon although that was against weaker. The 6 raced well in last, just got out closed, should race well again especially with the front running style he has. Race 9 8 Western Joe 5 Geez Joe 1 Da Delightful The 8 gets another bad post, closed in 25.3 in last and may have needed a race, expect a much improved effort from this one. The 5 also came home quick in the same race and may have needed a race as well, should improve and contend in here. The 1 just missed against similar two back, and won at Philly in last and seems fast enough to upset this group with the right trip. Race 10 5 Rockin Ron 4 Passa-Grille Beach 2 De Los Cielos Deo The 5 has ran back to back good seconds at Philly, has closed well in those two races and should be flying late in the stretch, and should contend well in this wide open race. The 4 missed by a neck against slightly weaker two back, is fast enough to compete in here and needs to be forwardly placed to have a good chance to upset these. The 2 had a complete dud race in last, took a couple of weeks off, is facing similar and should rebound and compete well in with his usual late kick like two and three back. Race 11 3 Decision Day 6 Stonedust 5 In Rock We Trust The 3 raced well in last to win against similar, should race well once again. The 6 was used hard in last and could not hold off the 3 in the stretch, with a better trip he could turn the tables. The 5 raced his heart out in last, could not hold off the 1 late in the race, expect another game effort out of this one. Race 12 8 Chiplosive 3 All American N 7 Majestic Fire The 8 is dropping, and is fast enough to take these. The 3 ran a great qualifier and if he can replicate that he will be right there at the wire, has breaking problems but will compete well in here if he can stay flat. The 7 is going up in class, has won two in a row and can go faster than last, should have a good chance to upset these at a price. Race 13 1 May I Cruise West 10 Make It Big 3 Dramatic Point The 1 is dropping, getting post relief, and is fast enough to take these, should contend well in here and have a good chance to pull off the upset. The 10 broke in last, raced well two back and should contend in here. The 3 is getting post relief, and should contend well in this wide open race. Meet Record This my record for picking the winners; 1st choice means my first horse picked per each race, 2nd choice means my second horse picked per each race, 3rd choice means my third horse picked per each race and top 3 choices means how often I had the winner among my top 3 choices. The latest date gives my cumulative percentages for how often my picks have won per choice. WIN% by CHOICE
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A Cliff Notes Summary of the First One Out Interviews
If you haven't had time to listen to seven hours of podcast interviews, or you didn't retain everything you heard, here are some key points. I didn't think to do this until just now, so I'll be posting it as a work in progress and updating it throughout the afternoon. That way more people will have a chance to read up before the premiere. Karishma Patel, 37, Personal Injury Trial Lawyer, Houston, TX -First generation Indian-American Her mom was as a legal assistant, and got her a filing job at her law firm when she was 14. "I didn't have other options. I was basically told I was going to be a lawyer and I didn't disagree."She has watched every season and regularly listens to RHAP. She sits close to the TV to study the inflections on people's faces when something is said to them, so that she can think about what that means. But, her parents and husband don't share her enthusiasm for the show. Asked if it's her dark pleasure she says, "It is completely bright. It is a beautiful pleasure of mine, but it is mine and mine only. I haven't been able to find people to share it with." -Doing the show has caused her conflict. "Not only is it not expected, it's not allowed. It's kind of like being a disobedient Indian girl. You're not supposed to be doing this. What you're supposed to be doing is having babies. But I don't care. I'm a risk taker. I'm here to prove to myself that I don't need to listen to anybody else. I don't need permission from anybody else. This is my journey and I'm going to take it. I hope that people watching out there can see that an Indian woman's value does not come from doing what she's told." -She doesn't currently have children, and she says she has some decisions to make as she enters a crossroads and the next stage of her life. -Her law firm told her they'll replace her if they're able to find someone, and she can have her job back if they don't. "I didn't flinch." -Her strategy is to be non-threatening and play a social game. She doesn't look 37, and she wants to use that youthfulness to be disarming. She wants to build relationships other people believe in. She defines success by other people vouching for her loyalty when they go off and have private conversations with one another. "That means I got 'em, because it's actually the other way around." Asked if she wants to find someone she can trust, "I'm not going to be capable of it. I'm too skeptical for that. I overthink things, so I'm not going to be able to trust somebody the way I want to be trusted... If I do, that's the end of my game." My take: Oh my God. Poor Karishma. Her story hurts my heart. She reminds me so much of myself in her isolation, her defiance and her deep feelings. I worry that her fear of trusting people could get in the way of her forming genuine bonds. But, there's nothing she can do. Society has made her the way she is. I hope she gets a lot of screen time so she can be a star of her favorite show. Missy Byrd, 24, Military Veteran/App Developer, Tacoma, Washington -Originally from Georgia. Her family was 'decently poor.' She played basketball for the Air Force Academy because she thought it was her ticket out. -She had a brain tumor. She stopped menstruating for a year and two quarters. "I'm not dating anyone but I have breast milk. I'm a literal cow... I would look down and my shirt would be wet, and I thought, 'Dang you're clumsy. I knew you were clumsy, but you're clumsier today than you were yesterday. But it was - it was - uhh - milk." She had crying fits. She developed a stutter and couldn't look at people. Doctors told her she was just stressed. When her dad died she couldn't process emotions normally. She was about to go to the French version of the Air Force Academy, École de l'air, after graduation but because of her mental instability she was removed from school. The military shipped her to the same Air Force base as Sandra (Fort Lewis.) "I don't want to be there. Super sad. Check into the post office - fuck this. Check into the dorms - hate that." The doctor there found the tumor. She got an MRI and all weekend she believed she might have cancer. Over the next year and a half she eliminated the tumor and the symptoms using vitamins. She enlisted and worked logistics. -She made a list of the things she wanted to do now that she was going to live. "The first thing was go see Beyonce. Beyonce costs way too much money for a normal person to go see, but if you've just almost had a near death experience you go see Beyonce, bro!" She was feet away. She drove across the country. She tried weed. -She had an idea for an app, but didn't even have the computer literacy to use social media. She found a veteran's association and asked if she could intern. "They said, 'No, you should build this out yourself. We want to work for you.' I said, 'No, the fuck you don't. Okay, lemme call my grandma.'" She wrote a grant proposal and won a $1,500 office space in the center of Seattle. "Just to do whatever I want. It was like a laboratory for a child. I had Play-Dough up there. I had a white board... Just mind blowing shit when I could have been dead." -She'd seen every episode of Survivor at least three times. She started watching because her Air Force Academy basketball team was getting decimated, and she related to Foa Foa getting decimated in Survivor: Samoa. She added the show to her list. Josh suggests, "The bugs are eating you because they want some of that magic." -She isn't going to tell people her story until she's in the Final 3. "That's that Final 3 magic." She doesn't want to overly rely on strategy. She doesn't want to win individual challenges. She to build a social game and find ways to relate to everyone. My take: She's so full of exuberance. There's not a negative bone in her body right now. She's too young and her life experience is too necessarily limited to talk around three years of her life. If she shares her story, the beauty of her perspective will cause everyone to fall in love with her and want her to do well. If she doesn't, people will sense that she's hiding a lot. I think she'll figure that out and course correct within the first day. Since she was at the same Air Force base as Sandra and she was a massive fan, does that suggest she knows her? Ronnie Bardah, 35, Professional Poker Player, Henderson, Nevada-Born and raised in Brockton, Massachusetts, 20 minutes south of Boston. They were the only Israeli family in town. 50% of the people in Brockton were from Cape Verde, and he considers himself an "honorary Cape Verdian." A couple of his friends were shot and killed at a young age. -He was a good kid and had a good heart, but he was always hustling. In Junior High he was flipping Oatmeal Cakes and Fudge Rounds for a profit. Slinging baseball cards. Both his parents gambled. They were always at the dog tracks or Mohegan Sun. He had his friend make him a fake ID and got stuck with the name Alaja Jones. He went by Al and started playing the casinos. Quit his job at Sears Automotive to play poker full time.-He played Atlantic City, Vegas, then internationally. He had his first big score in 2010 when he took 24th place in the main event for $320,000. Got to keep $150,000 after taxes. "Poker's a hard way to make an easy living. Lots of people try. We risk every day. You have to get to a point when you can manage your bankroll and I've never gone broke in the 16 years I've played." -In one of the most viewed poker hands of all time, he was bluffed out of a million dollar pot by a supermodel on a poker TV show filmed in Monaco. "She made a sick play. She had no idea what she was doing but all the stars were aligned."-He watched Borneo when it aired and got back into it when fellow poker player Anna Khait was on. He calls Jean-Robert, "kinda a lazy guy...He's really good at befriending multi-millionaires." "Anna Khait... is probably the least poker player out of all of us. She played for a couple years." "And then Garrett - He's a very, very smart, smart kid... Self-made millionaire. One of the very, very few." -He only drank water for 7.5 days and lost 25 pounds for his health and to get an idea of the conditions of the show. He thinks he'll thrive in the survival situation. "People like being around me. I like to fucking bust balls and joke." He thinks old school alliances are a good plan, but you have to adapt. He says that like in poker, Survivor players can have every advantage, but they have to really smell it. -He wants Vince out. "There's an Asian Zeke in there. What value does he bring besides ruining people and getting in people's heads? He's a liability in challenges. He looks like a little corn puff. We gotta get him outta here. Sorry to sound so mean but it's the truth." My take: Ruuuuude. He has no way of knowing how other people on the cast are talking in their interviews, and may assume the trash talk is standard. If he were playing on some seasons it would be. But, in this particular season it sets him apart in an unflattering way, and it seems a part of the tough persona he's built up to escape a scary situation growing up and enter a fantasy career. We'll see whether his tribe thinks he's a straight talking character or a jerk. Tom Laidlaw, Former NHL Player, Brampton, Ontario, Canada -He was with the New York Rangers for 7 years and the LA Kings for 4. Now he has his own podcast, True Grit Life (truegritlife.com). Does it with a friend, Kevin Allen, who writes for USA Today. Does motivational speaking. -Growing up on a dairy farm outside Toronto there was a pond to water the cows. It froze over in the winters and he'd play hockey because there wasn't much else to do. Went to Northern Michigan University - four year hockey captain, ranked #1 team in the country. Drafted as a 20 year old. "My buddy had a horse farm. We were cleaning horse shit out of the stalls. There were no cell phones back then. This is 1978. My father got a call at our farm house from the New York Rangers at the draft. Back then nobody went to the draft - it was just teams. They said I'd been drafted in the sixth round. He calls the farm house where I'm working. They bring me up. He says, 'Son, you've been drafted by the Rangers.' I said, 'Great. What do I do now?' He says, 'Finish cleaning the shit out of the stalls.'" -When he played intimidation and fighting was strategy. There were guys tougher than him, but he could fight and he could also play. Problem was, he fought a guy once, and from then on the guy wanted to fight him over and over. -Jerry Bruckheimer, big hockey fan, called the NHL and wanted to get some players on the Amazing Race. Tom had kept himself in shape, he had his passport. They ended up asking him about Survivor. He'd watched it before but not for a while. He wasn't so sure he wanted to play a game where you hurt other people, but friends helped him get his head around it. He was very impressed by Christian's toughness in the endurance challenge. To prepare for the show he studied how he reacted to different situations, how to control his heart heart, etc. He wants the mental challenge. My take: Tom really ticked me off when he spoiled a couple of outcomes of this season. That's a betrayal of the producers, his cast and the viewers. But, if that hadn't happened I would like him. He's an easy-going, charming guy. His life experiences are a bit different than anyone else who's been on the show, which is what you want. Vince Moua, 27, Admissions Counselor, Merced, CA -His family is Hmong. His parents lived in Vietnam in the destruction left by the war - dead bodies, guns, people who wanted to kill them. They went to refugee camps in Thailand. Then his dad became a Montana farm hand. He met Vince's mom in the US, but she came from the same place. -Vince is from small town Merced, California - the 209. Few people he knew went anywhere but the UC system and community college. He went to Stanford, one of only 7-10 Hmong. He realized the significance someone can bring to people from the same community. He tried to be pre-med but realized "no, not today." The issues of access he cared about came well before people got to the hospital. He ended up going with education. His mom was a teacher, "But when I was growing up she said, 'Yo, if you become a teacher Imma disown yo ass.' To all of us. But, that's always kinda been my jam." -He lived in South Korea for five years. He taught English in a town. Then in Seoul ahed worked with low and middle income students who wanted to study outside of Korea. -He's a Survivor superfan, who even mentions on his Tinder account that he plans to be on Survivor. His parents were worried about him doing TV because he's not out as gay to his extended family. He comes from a clan where his dad is the "top dog" and Vince is "the next top dog." In the Asian American/Pacific Islander community when you come out, it's your family who faces - in a sense - dishonor. For a long time he distanced himself from his family, hoping they'd all be less hurt if they found out and disowned him. He always tried to find friends who would be there for him should his parents not be. A year ago his mom asked him rhetorically if he was gay. "I was try'n to go around it. I was like, 'Gurl, you don't wanna know! Yo ass keeps asking!' But she kept asking, asking. So finally I told her 'Yeah, I am!' and she was crying. My dad was like, 'Oh, my son!'" But, Vince is fine with who he is and wants to show kids like him that "let's hope that it gets better." Now his parents just want him to win. -He'd like to play an old school strategy but "I'm not afraid to cut a bitch." With the tribe he's going to be Homeboy Vince from the 209, but when he talks to the camera he's going to tell people "Don't underestimate your narratives." This past year with Crazy Rich Asians, he wants people to know that there are some Crazy Hood Ass Asians. My take: What a character. Vince has a clear point of view - Hmong, blue collar, gay - which is unique to him in Survivor lore. Even though double minorities have sometimes had trouble fitting in socially on Survivor I think somehow he's going to pull it off. As unlikely as this sounds I could even see him being a Cochran-esque winner. Aaron Meredith, 36, Personal Trainer, Warwick, Rhode Island -He's very keyed up at Ponderosa. Rambling so fast it sounds like you're listening to 1.5x. He's read four books so far - Relentless by Tim Grover, Can't Hurt Me by Dave Goggins, Iron Cowboy by James Lawrence, Harry Potter. -He was an engineer at a building insulation plant. He was miserable, too antsy sitting at a desk. Couldn't focus. So, he drove up and down the East Coast popping kettle corn - from Maine to Florida - traveling with carnies. Bartended for a while. He'd played college football and baseball, lifted since high school, and he and his friends wanted to get "huge and jacked and ripped." The owner of the gym suggested he become a personal trainer. He ended up working mostly with middle aged women and it taught him empathy. Now he owns two women's-only fitness studios. He puts supportive women around one another and offers them the positivity to seek self-growth. -He's also a party boat emcee. Lights, DJ, bar, drinks. He's an extremely social person. -He'd first applied at 23 - 6 or 7 times over the years. He was in the mix for Cook Islands and David vs. Goliath. -He's been married 7 years and has a 5 year old son. His son is a huge fan of Survivor. Libby Vincek is his favorite player. Kara Kay was his next favorite. Aaron is already sure Molly will be his son's favorite. "He has a type. He He likes the attractive blondes. He says, 'I like them because they have a nice face.' I like mommy because she has a nice face too." The boy was very concerned about his dad going on the show. He said, "Dad, I don't want anyone to laugh at you and make fun of you." Aaron said he wanted to win. His son said, "But you might not win." When they watch the show he'll always ask, "Do they like him? Do they like her?" If Aaron is portrayed in a negative light he'll have to sit down with his son and talk. He doesn't want to play a deceitful game, but he will, because he doesn't care how he's portrayed. My take: His story about his son is one of my favorites from all these interviews. I hope he gets to work with Molly. His adrenaline is too high. I hope he calms down a lot when the game starts. But, someone so social and sweet hearted who can win challenges and take themselves to the end has got to be a contender to win. Chelsea Walker, 27, Digital Content Editor, Los Angeles, CA -Chelsea just took the cast photo and they put her in the third spot from the bottom, a good omen because a weird number of winners have been in that position. "Your girl's number three. I got this!" -She's a Jersey girl. She went to the University of Maryland. "I didn't do Survivor: Maryland or anything." She studied Broadcast Journalism. She knew the generic emails for NBC Universal and emailed random people until someone replied. Now she's been in LA a year. She did coverage of award shows. Now she works at IMDB, where she helps Kevin Smith with his show. She just interviewed people at SXSW. -She's been watching Survivor since she was 8. She's cried in every interview because this means so much to her. She's trying to explain that at the point she starts crying again. "It's been such a dream of mine and To be told no year after year after year - these past six years have been a total mindfuck. I've basically been called every single year. I've been to finals three times. Survivor is my one true love, but the one year they didn't call me I got really pissed off so I tried out for Big Brother. I ended up becoming the alternate and got my key being filmed and all of that crap. But I don't like that show anyway." -In September 2017 she was at a WeHo bar for her friend's birthday when, "Oh shit that's Jeff Probst." Her girlfriends all know she's obsessed, so she pulled the waiter over and asked what that guy was drinking. So, Chelsea sent another one over. "I told my friends, 'Take my credit card. Split the bill, because I can't come back after I do this. As soon as the waiter drops off the drink I'm like, 'Jeff, this one's on me. You can buy me the next one at finals.' And I just walked out of the restaurant... That was a big move!" They didn't call her again that year, but Jeff still remembered when they talked this year. -She's been working out at four different gyms - weights, pilates, yoga. Push ups. Memorized puzzles. Reading How to Win Friends and Influence People, which she keeps in.a Bible sleeve so people will think she's religious. She also carries Harry Potter because she would trust someone who read HP. She wants to keep it cool. Make one on one connections. Eventually find idols - and not tell anyone she has one - and make calculated moves. "I don't want to be a Jacob. No offense." My take: Hearing this girl cry from joy because she's so happy to be on the show makes me emotional. She's a real go getter. I wish I were that damn fearless. Truly, I wish I were more like her. I hope her pure zest for life comes across on TV and she doesn't get stuck with a purple edit just because of her age and gender. I also hope no one decides to get threatened by her as a competitive girl and vote her off premerge. I think she'll go far. Hope so. Dean Kowalski, 28, Account Executive, New York, New York -Referring to himself in the third person, "Dean is 28 years old. As we mentioned, he lives in New York and he prides himself on being a well rounded person when it comes to interests, abilities, personalities... If I'm listening to Drake and Lil Wayne, I gotta go home and cry to This Is Us.. I can play basketball but also think about our place in the universe." He likes to tag basketball courts with a peace symbol with a ball on it which he makes using a stencil. -He structures most of his interview with Josh around an Outwit, Outplay, Outlast format, explaining why he excels at each. -He grew up in an affluent suburb. His dream was to play in the NBA. He was 5"9 3/4, so he set his eyes on college basketball as a realistic alternative. In order to get looks from colleges he went to a school 30 minutes away - top five in the country, Nike would fly them around for games and give them free Jordan sneakers. He was one of only 4 white guys in the whole school and the only one on the team. He played with Kyrie Irving, the #1 overall draft pick. "My friend said you look like the Make a Wish Kid who just wants to be on the team for a day." He played at Colombia University, where he was co-captain his senior year despite averaging two minutes a game. He became a teacher, then did sales for a tech startup in New York. He now sells ads for Google. -He's a fan, but far from a superfan. He started watching Brenda's season. (He thinks it was Nicaragua, but it was actually Carmoan.) He works with a superfan who freaked out when they had a meeting at H&R Block with Carolyn Rivera and they went out to Bourbon Street with her. He kept watching for five years and thought he could do well. He hates when people are all talk, so he sent in a tape. For the video he interviewed random strangers on the street, who had never met him or seen the show, and asked them, "Why am I going to win it?" A barber, a construction worker. He's going to tell people he's in marketing, not sales - people have sales. My take: I'm just not that into him. Elaine Stott, 41, Factory Worker, Rockholds, NY -When Josh asks her not to touch the table she asks him, "You seen that Bart Simpson commercial, right? Don't touch my Butterfinger? I'm already hungry thinking about it." -"I had a pretty rough way to go growing up." Her single dad raised her and her three brothers. She was the youngest. "I was raised like one of the boys. Know what I mean? Daddy didn't know how to raise no little girl." He worked 16-17 hour days. The kids raised themselves. "When little children make their own decisions, they make poor ones." She was a hellion. -She's originally from Woodbine, Kentucky, Nick Wilson's hometown. Her god sister went to school with him and she knows him through the grapevine. "We rode on different sides of the track. 20 years ago he coulda been my lawyer, because I was on the other side of the law. I'm not bad. I've just done some things." Public intoxication several times. "I come from a dry county. It's like Footloose. We cross the state line to get a beer and when you come back you're in trouble." She stole a newspaper stand once and had to do community service. "I was a little bit mean." -She went to live with her grandpa and cleaned her act up, by which she means that she started smoking a little weed and playing sports - basketball, softball, track. She played softball and judo in college. "I couldn't do nothing real technical. We had Brazilians on the team who could do flying arm bars. But if I got these claws on you and got ya on the ground I'd waller you to death." In casting she put this guy Will in an armbar. She was gonna choke him but didn't know if she should. -When she graduated, her girlfriend was a college Freshman so she went to all the same parties and ballgames for four years. Then she realized she needed a job. Now she drives a Ford truck for a factory. She's been there 15 years. She works 12 hours, 7 days a week. -Growing up her mom "was always in my life in some sense. She'd never miss a birthday. She'd be homeless, but she'd still call." Elaine and her brothers bought her cars, and places to live, and got her jobs. "In a sense I've been mourning the loss of my mom my whole life." Once Elaine was homeless herself and there was snow on the ground. It was cold, and her teacher took her in. Gave her Christmas presents. Made her go to prom. Survivor was a thing they shared, and the teacher was gonna be Elaine's loved one. But within a one year period the woman lost her daughter, her husband, her dog and then had a stroke. Now "she walks like Frankenstein" and can't go. Elaine got Probst to talk to her, and she can't wait to watch. In October Elaine's biological mom went into a coma. She was on life support, but Elaine wouldn't unplug her. Her mom came out of it and seemed to be doing a lot better only to die very suddenly of a heart attack. -Her girlfriend and her girlfriend's two sons are gonna be watching. The 18 year old doesn't know because he can't keep a secret. The 13 year old helped her lose 20 pounds doing crossfit to come out here. She wants the money, but she really wants "some of that soul searching, that life adventure, that life changing - some of that. You know what I mean? Gimme some of that soup! Lemme eat some of that up! I want this show to build me up, because I feel like it can. I sure hope to hell it don't tear me down." My take: About 12 sobbing emojis in a row. She's my favorite. If she gets voted out premerge I'm going to go into mourning. And how can you not sort of expect that? I am going to be so upset if they just dismiss her because she's older and looks out of shape and sounds country. If that happens, I want another Second Chance season next year. Elizabeth Biesel, 26, Olympic swimmer, South Kingstown, Rhode Island -Josh says that Elizabeth was outright identified by one of the other contestants because they'd been watching YouTube videos about how to be a better swimmer. Others guessed she was an Olympian based on her rings tattoo. -She's from the Ocean State. They lived a block away from the beach, so they wanted her to take swimming lessons. She was a rambunctious child and swimming was the only way they could calm her energy. She started breaking records when she was 7 or 8. When she was 13 she made her first national team. At 15 she went to the Olympics. She got good early. Women peak around 22-23, and she ended her career at 24. You couldn't make much money doing it. She swam one of the longer, more grueling races, and her body said "no more." She listened to her body and retired. Some athletes lose their love for swimming because they're embittered by losing by 1/100th of a second, or they leave injured. She left on a good note. Still, if she could swim competitively for the rest of her life, she would. Now she doesn't know who she is or what she's going to do with the rest of her life. Every hour of the day used to have a purpose. Now her days are wide open. She can't keep eating 5,000 calories a day. "It's sort of like I'm mourning the death of Elizabeth Biesel the swimmer." -She was a Survivor fan as a kid because Richard Hatch was from Rhode Island. In her area "Every single household that had a television set was watching Survivor." When they asked her if she'd do the show, she felt pure joy. She said absolutely right away. She's excited about the competition of Survivor. No heated Olympic pools. You're stripped down to your core. She's amazed by the scope of the production apparatus. She's not a schemer. She wants to be a challenge beast - not the best woman but the best overall. She'd love to have a Wendell and Dom relationship with another woman. But, she wants to avoid the drama as long as she can. My take: Could Chelsea be Wendell to her Dom? She's so wholesome. She's just so "Olympics." I love her and everything she represents. I'd love to see her rocket through the swimming competitions, lapping everyone else. Go Elizabeth.
My Picks For Opening Saturday At Ky Downs Five Day Meet.
I will focus on Ky Downs this Saturday as they have grass racing only and the fields are stacked with solid runners. They only have a five day meet again this year, including the next two Saturdays and I always try to play their races. 1st Race: Maiden Special Weight--- 3 YOs & Up--- 1 1/2 Mile Turf--- Purse $120,000. My bet to WP will be 2)Somebody's Beau(8-1). Julie Burke has the mount and she won 2 races last year at this meet and is much better on grass, even at other tracks. Somebody's Beau' broodmare sire, Bernstein, is a son of Storm Cat but his dam La Affirmed is a daughter of TC winner Affirmed. Affirmed foals, especially his daughters, were major runners and producers of grass runners. Somebody's Beau just missed in a 1 1/8 mile grass race two starts back but he has been trying to run down horses while tracking slow paces but running out of room. But Saturday, he will get a distance that will only help with his late run. 1) Dixieland Rags(30-1) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. His only start on grass was a race marred by inexperienced young horses, so he like most others in that race, have little chance to show his true ability. His sire, Union Rags, was a 2 YO Champion and won the Belmont S in his final start while banking $1.8M in winnings. And while he never raced on grass, his dam family was bred to excel on grass. His broodmare sire, Smart Strike, is sire of Curlin and Looking At Lucky but his 2nd dam, No Class, is the best producing daughter of Nodouble, a top grass sire. 6)High Beam(12-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. In his last, Borel rushed him to keep up with the early speed and he had nothing left when it was time to go. If his jockey allows him to settle early and then kick for home, he will be the one most likely to win this race. His sire, Temple City, dam is a 1/2 sister to Malibu Moon but he will get his distance abilities from his broodmare sire, Parade Ground, winner of the G3 Lawrence Realization at 1 1/2 miles on grass and 2nd in the G2 Bowling Green H at 1 3/8 miles on grass where he was charging hard but ran out of room chasing a horse that got a big jump on him. Race 2: Starter Allowance $10000---- 3 YOs & Up Fillies & Mares---- Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $10,000 Or Less Since Sept 1, 2016--- 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf--- Purse $42,000. My choice to WP will be 10)Blame The Dream(12-1). At first glance it looks like he may not care for grass as he has finished 2nd once in 9 tries on grass. But they were all races when he was still a maiden and some were actually decent efforts but he was left with too much ground to make up except his one effort at KD where he was sent 1 5/16 mile and ran even throughout. C.J. McMahon is a son of top QH rider Charles McMahon and after struggling his first year has became known as a jockey who will give his mount ever chance to win. 8)Appealing Way(6-1) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. She won her last start and should find this spot slightly easier. Her jockey, Joseph Rocco Jr is a son of another jockey, Joseph Rocco Sr, who was a top rider in Maryland for years. Jr has also won on this grass course in a $600,000 race, so he should be familiar with the timing it takes to win here. 12)Racey Reecey(6-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. She will be among the pace setters and should win the pace battle if she breaks more alertly than her last start, when she got a sluggish start. When her trainer wins, he usually does it with front running types and she fits that angle. May have to fit her in my exacta box in place of the 8)Appealing Way. I will not use the expected favorite 11)Awesome Gal(3-1) in this spot. She has too many starts and stop in her recent form without any works since her last. A red flag for me, personally and it is usually a trainer's hint she may not be feeling well. Race 3: Allowance O/C $62,500--- 3 YOs & Up--- Which Have Not Won 2 Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won 3 Races Or Claiming Price $62,500--- 6 1/2 Furlongs Turf--- Purse $145,000. 6)Spikes Shirl(15-1) will be my choice to WP. His sire, Speightstown, won the G1 BC Sprint in his last start, but I like her dam family more for their grass abilities. His dam, Shirl's Soul, is a daughter of G1 Turf Miler Winner Perfect Soul, but her dam, Lady Shirl, is dam of G1 Winning Turfers Shakespeare(Woodbine Mile) and Perfect Shirl(BC Ladies Turf)and G2 grass winner Lady Shakespeare. Lady Shirl's sire line is Noholme II, the sire of Nodouble. This will be Spikes Shirl's first lifetime start on grass and well, she might actually like it, you think? A 15-1 shot I will take. My choice for 2nd will be 10)One Mean Man(8-1). While he has not won since he was 3 YO, he has faced by far the best competition in here. He ran 4th in the G1 Secretariat S to Beach Patrol while he was in shape. While 6 1/2 furlongs looks a little short for him, the fact that the course has a slight upgrade(Hill) will only compliment his running style. 4)Sharm El Shiek(20-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. He, like my top choice, was bred to run on grass. His trainer, Murat Sancal, has spent the last several years shipping all over the country and cherry picking grass races with long odds horses that are bred for grass. I will throw in the 11) Field Of Courage(8-1)and box a small super because the potential is there for a huge payday. Race 4: Allowance--- 3 YOs & Up Fillies And Mares--- Which Have Not Won A race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won 2 Races--- 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf--- Purse $140,000. My choice to WP is 5)Vanilla Cat(15-1). She is making her fourth start of the year(here I go again harping on the 4th start). She had a little mini break of 3 months before her last start but that was because the owner decided to take back training duties from Asmussen and used that time getting her fit. And she ran a much improved race since he deemed her ready. With a good work and a maintenance breeze since that race to keep her fit, she should be ready to fire her best shot. Her sire, Tale Of The Cat is sire of multiple G1 SW Gio Ponti and while her dam did not win in three starts, her 2nd dam, Golden Treat, won 3 races in her career; a maiden eace, the G1 Santa Anita Oaks, and the then listed(now G2)San Clemente H on grass. She also was G1 placed on dirt. 11)Cash Out(7-2) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. She has ran against the best of the 3 YOs fillies this year. I will throw her last effort out because it is obvious she did not handled Saratoga's yielding turf but has since recorded 2 decent works on their dirt training track. I was going to go bombs away but after reconsidering, I will make 1)Blame Henny(4-1) as my choice to complete the tri box. Her sire, Blame, has the same dam family as Sadler's Wells, Nureyev, and a host of other very good grass runners. However, her broodmare sire, Hennessy, is grand sire of Scat Daddy through his son Johannesburg and of Beholder, through his son Henny Hughes. With her bloodlines, you have Danzig crossing with Storm Cat and this is the top combo in breeding today. I will toss in the 11)Sarabi(30-1) and box a small super, again because I think the potential to score big is present. While I do not know much about her trainer, I do know Luis Saez will ride her well and she has enough upside to crash the super at least. The sire of her 2nd dam is Palace Music, who is best known as sire of Cigar. 5th Race: Allowance--- 3 YOs & Up-- Which Have Not Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won 2 Races--- 1 Mile Turf--- Purse $140,000. 9)Belfast Cowboy(15-1) will be my choice to WP. He is a close relative of G1 winner Sistercharlie in that they have the same sire(Myboycharlie) and broodmare sire(Galileo). In his last start, he was restrained by his jockey much to his displeasure and he became ranked and did not produce his best run. Probably the main reason the trainer decided to use another jockey in Channing Hill. Myboycharlie won the biggest G1 sprint in France restricted to 3 YOs but his broodmare sire Galileo was a champion 3 YO in England and is the best siring son of Sadler's Wells. Belfast Cowboy also crosses 4x4 with Danzig and 5x5 with Marshua's Dancer, a close relative of Mr Prospector. Not a matter of if but when he will mature into a top class runner and this weekend could well be his coming out party. 1)Mr Darcy(12-1) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. He has opened up big leads while refusing to settle in his last two starts. But it is an educated guess that Albarado came back and told the trainer the hood(blinkers) needs to come off and he will more than likely settle down and conserve his energy until the stretch run. This weekend he will race with the blinkers off, so he can see the other horses around him and hopefully calm down a little. He has 2 very nice works since he ran that suggests he is still feeling good. He too has bloodlines that will come to the forefront eventually. He has Storm Cat on top with Danzig on the dam family. 7)John Tippmann(12-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. He crosses on each side of his pedigree with Storm Cat through his sons Hennessy and Tale Of The Cat. He has made three starts on grass and this is supposed to be the easiest field on grass he has ran against. But it has came up extremely tough for a conditioned allowance race. While he would not be a total shock, I like my top 2 picks better. 5)Passport To Chaos(4-1) has an outside shot to crash my tri box but he will have to beat a class of horses he has not shown he could yet. Therefore while I am aware of him, I will have to take a stance against. 6th Race: Maiden Special Weight--- 2 YO Fillies--- 6 1/2 Furlongs Turf---- Purse $130,000. 2)Arch Avenue(15-1) will be my choice to WP. There is not a thing wrong with his first effort except he broke a little sluggish after recording some nice works. Since then, he has added two more nice works and a maintenance breeze to show he is fit. He has Danzig on both sides of his pedigree but adds Hail To Reason on both sides also, giving him an extra dose of speed abilities and with the slight stretch out, I expect him to use it much more effective this start. 12)Julia's Ready(15-1) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. She has slow works but that is when her trainer is at his best. He has trained for more than 50 years and still maintains a 17% winning percentage. He rarely tips anyone when he has a runner but there are clues in her bloodlines that suggests she will be live. Her sire, More Than Ready, produces foals that are at their best sprinting, especially on grass. Her broodmare sire is Giant's Causeway, a top speed sire. However her dam, Julia Tuttle, won one minor stakes at Monmouth but that was at 1 1/8 mile on grass in wire to wire fashion setting a fast pace and picking up the pace even more when asked. Julia's Ready's 2nd dam, Candy Cane, is a winning full sister to Candy Ride. If this horse does not have speed bred into her, then there is no one in this race that does. 4)Ginny B(12-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. her trainer has decided to add blinkers to get her to focus more on leaving the gate. Even though she is bred for front running speed, she has been a little tardy in both of her starts. Her sire is also More Than Ready but her broodmare sire, Yonaguska, beat City Zip as they traded wins in their first few starts before City Zip matured into a top class runner. However, Ginny B has enough early speed potential bred into her that she could harm the other speed enough to set up my top pick even more. And since I have enough good odds on the horses I like, I will add 7)Super Patriotic and box a small super. Then I will key the 2)Arch Avenue on top and run the other three underneath on a larger super bet. I always try to do this at least once every week I bet and that will always give me an opportunity to make a memory I will never forget. And it has worked on several occasions but not on most. 7th Race: The One Dreamer S--- 3 YOs & Up Fillies & Mares---- Which Have Not Won A Sweepstakes In 2018--- 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf--- Purse $250,000. 7)Con Te Partiro(12-1) will be my choice to WP. She is shortening up to a distance her bloodlines will appreciate more than any other in here. She showed some ability in her early starts but her last five races has been further than she wants to run, even though she gave a valiant effort in most of them. While her sire, Scat Daddy, won a G1 at 1 1/8 miles, her broodmare sire, Street Cry, spent his career struggling at any distance past a mile. Sure, Street Cry won the Dubai World Cup at 1 1/4 miles, but it was against a field of G2 turf horses. Even his sire was a champion miler in Europe that never won past that distance. Her trainer, Wesley Ward, has given her what looks like 2 slow breezes since she ran, but they were more a maintenance breeze to keep her fit. She has already proven she is ready, only needs the right distance. And where would I be if I didn't like 4)I Remember Mama(12-1). She will be my choice to complete my exacta box. her sire, Ghostzapper, is a 1/2 brother to City Zip. Her dam, Joyful Chaos only stakes win came on grass but she beat the top grass filly in training at the time. Her broodmare sire, Rahy, is known mostly through what his daughters have produced but he is also a 1/2 brother to multiple G1 SW and sire Singspiel. 9)Prado's Sweet Ride(4-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. She should be able to stay close early and will appreciate having several front runners to run at. She is working a little faster than I like to see and these types ate either extremely sharp or about to throw a dull race. But since her trainer knows how to prepare them for a top effort, I am going to assume he is on top of the situation. I will throw the 12)Last Promise Kept and box a small super, simply because I have been burned to many times for leaving a horse that crosses with Danzig on both sides out of my bets. She is also working on her third race back after a winning effort, another angle I use a lot that pays dividends. 8th Race: The Tourist Mile S----- 3 YOs & Up---- One Mile Turf---- Purse $750,000. I definitely do not see an upset brewing in this race. I like The 8)Bound For Nowhere(3-1) to Win and will put him with the M/L favorite Mr Misunderstood(2-1) in an exacta box only. I like 5)Bandar(20-1) for third but that is less than likely due to a low percentage trainer and a jockey that is still eligible for apprentice weight but is not allow it for any stakes race rides. 9th Race: Ky Downs Juvenile S---- 2 YOs ---- 1 Mile Turf---- Purse $400,000. I like the 6)Tracksmith(12-1) to WP. His trainer Joe Sharp and jockey Adam Beschizza has won quite a few stakes while teaming up this year. His sire, Street Sense, won the 2007 Ky Derby and he has bloodlines that suggest he would be as good or better on grass though he was never tried on that surface. Tracksmith's dam, Hot Water, is an unraced daughter of Medaglia D'Oro. However, her granddam, Xtra Heat, was a G1 winning Sprinter who ran 2nd against the colts in the G1 BC Sprint. 5)Coral Legacy(8-1) will be my choice to complete my exacta box. His sire, Bodemeister, ran 2nd in the Ky Derby & Preakness S but his bloodlines indicated he would be even better on grass. His broodmare sire, Smart Strike, was a G1 winner at 1 1/16 miles but produced two sons who each won the Preakness S, Curlin & Looking At Lucky. Coral Legacy's 3rd dam, South Sea Dancer, is a full sister to Storm Bird. Todd Pletcher trains and he has given first call to Corey Lanerie. 10)Mr Zydeco(30-1) will be my choice to complete my tri box. His sire, Risque Remarque, is a sire not many have ever heard of because he was used as a show sire for a few years. He was unraced and you have to go back to his great great grandsire to find Halo, a multiple G1 SW on grass. His dam, Alligator Style was an unraced daughter on A.P. Indy. Her dam, Sensibly Chic was a G2 winning sprinter on dirt but was definitely better bred for grass. If Mr Zydeco runs back to his only grass start, he will be a late factor against these and he has the breeding to pull off a major upset. The jockey can ride a little bit but would be much more known if he got better mounts. 10th Race: Ky Downs Juvenile Fillies S--- 2 YO Fillies---- 1 Mile Turf----- Purse $400,000. 10)Noble Love(15-1)will be my choice to WP. Her sire, Noble Mission, is a multiple G1 winning full brother to Frankel who won most of the distance races that Frankel has not tried in. Her dam, Pyramid Love ran 2nd in the G3 Doubledogdare S on Keeneland's AWT. Her broodmare sire, Fusaichi Pegasus, won the 2000 Ky Derby and ran 2nd in the Preakness S. However, as a sire, his foals are much better equipped for grass. Noble Love has the special cross of Danzig on each side of her pedigree and that alone gets her a ticket to win. Her trainer, William Calhoun, is known for winning when his horses can get the lead. And it looks like there is no one else in here that can match her early. She should be long gone before the others realizes what happen. 1)War Ballad(15-1)rated just off the pace in her last two but is the only one that looks like she may give my top pick any problem at all. But she also does not look fast enough so I will use her in my exacta box. Her sire, Declaration Of War, is a G1 SW miler son of War Front and this sire line, also from Danzig sire line, are poise to take over turf sprinting sire duties from Scat Daddy. While her broodmare sire is A.P. Indy, the rest of her dam family should excel at one mile on grass. 7)Miss Technically(7-2) will be my choice to complete my tri box. She should be able to stalk the pace and put in a good run in the stretch. Her sire, Gio Ponti, os a multiple G1 winning son of Tale Of The Cat. She also has major distance grass influences Nijinsky II and the champion filly Heavenly Prize. I will add the 5)My Jilly(15-1) and box a small super. She was my original choice to win until I notice everyone at least a full second slower than my now top pick. One or two fifths can easily be explained away but a full second is much harder, especially when all the others looks pretty even. These are my picks for opening day at Ky Downs this weekend. I type this post out to help others get an idea of what it takes to give each and every one a realistic chance of making money. But I set all my bets up to where I only need a couple of races to run the way I envision to make serious money. Sometimes it works, others times it does not. Being prepare and using your mind is always the key. Good Luck!!!
This thread serves two purposes: 1) To collect and make visible new posts in smaller Toronto based subreddits. Feel free to visit, comment and be generally helpful in posts indexed below. Please also remember to stay on your best behaviour when travelling outside of /toronto. 2) To act as a general off-topic conversation hub for the day. To that end, use this thread to talk about whatever is on your mind, regardless of whether or not it's related to Toronto. No matter where you're posting, please remember to be excellent to each other.
This thread serves two purposes: 1) To collect and make visible new posts in smaller Toronto based subreddits. Feel free to visit, comment and be generally helpful in posts indexed below. Please also remember to stay on your best behaviour when travelling outside of /toronto. 2) To act as a general off-topic conversation hub for the day. To that end, use this thread to talk about whatever is on your mind, regardless of whether or not it's related to Toronto. No matter where you're posting, please remember to be excellent to each other.
Woodbine Beach is a popular spot for picnics, sunbathing and swimming with wide stretches of sand, summer lifeguards, a bathing station and the Donald D. Summerville Outdoor Olympic Pool nearby. The recently renovated bathing station features upgraded ventilation and lighting, a new roof, an enlarged patio, change rooms, accessible washrooms 21 reviews of Woodbine Beach "My friend and I really needed a place to go out from the city life and we discovered Woodbine Beach! We went during the week so it wasn't that crowded, plenty of place and sand to walk around and do whatever you want. Lots of people were playing Beach Volleyball on the side. However, one thing I didn't really like about this place was that the lake water was FREEZING. The city will be erecting more barricades at Woodbine Beach today as it ramps up its efforts to keep people from getting too close to a family of foxes that are living underneath the boardwalk. Composition of the beach: The sand is extremely fine and calcareous over a limestone base, according to Todd Knapton, manager of business development for Hutcheson Sand and Mixes in Huntsville. It was a dark wooded area far from the rest of the city and fancied by rum runners and their friends. Today Woodbine Beach is the city s hotspot for beach volleyball. Ashbridges Bay is just to the Design competition ‘Winter Stations’ open at Woodbine Beach. This year, four designs out of 273 submissions were selected by the Winter Stations design jury. Blogs. Feb 17, 2020. Woodbine Beach was littered with garbage strewn across the area on Sunday morning, reportedly left by revelers who packed the beach on Saturday. Videos posted on social media show people dancing and drinking on the beach in close proximity, with no masks and social distancing rules being ignored. Litter including empty bottles of alcohol, cans, […] Call it Trinity Bellwoods: Part 2. But instead of flocking to the west-end park on Saturday, crowds packed Woodbine Beach at the east end of the city. Videos and photos show thousands of people People pack Woodbine Beach, despite Ontario uptick in COVID-19 cases Back to video There were 206 new cases on Saturday, or a 0.6% increase and the first time in a six-day period that number went The Woodbine Beach parking lots, accessible off of Lake Shore Boulevard East, were closed on March 30 to stop the gathering of crowds in the area. Inset photo, the off-leash dog park by the Leuty Lifeguard Station is among park amenities closed by the city last week in the fight against COVID-19.
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